The 2024 US election was blown large open with Joe Biden's stunning withdrawal. While Kamala Harris accepted the Democratic presidential election, another familiar name is technically still in the mix: Michelle Obama.

Although the wife of former president Barack Obama is seemingly not in the running, she currently has the fourth-best chances of winning the presidency at +10,000. This is a decrease from earlier in the election cycle when she sat as a remote No. 3 alternative relative to both the Trump chances and Harris chances, as the former First Lady now routes JD Vance (+6,600). Exists anything tangible to this line movement or is it a mix of conspiracy theory and dream fulfillment?

Let's take a more detailed take a look at Michelle Obama's presidential election chances and take a look at the key barriers that may stand in her path.

Michelle Obama fast facts

A graduate of Princeton and Harvard, Michelle Obama began her career as a legal representative however transitioned to the general public sector right after. While supporting her partner in his political profession she was under plenty of scrutiny from the media however saw her popularity increase throughout her time in the White House.

While Obama has actually prevented direct involvement in politics, she often advocated for her husband's policies and assisted promote his expenses. She has also been active in philanthropy, receiving national attention for her advocacy on education and her public health project "Let's Move!" which motivates a healthy lifestyle for children.

Odds thanks to bet365 as of Oct. 14, 2024. Implied probability in betting is the probability of an event taking place as presumed from the odds offered by a sportsbook or the marketplace.

Obamas back Harris

There has been a lot of motion on the 2024 presidential election chances board over the last couple of years however perhaps the most significant relocation has been Michelle Obama surging from +6,600 to as high as +550 over the last couple of months before toppling back down by the end of July.

The most stunning feature of that line motion is that the former First Lady isn't even a candidate, and has constantly declared that a career in politics doesn't interest her. Seeing Obama listed greater than Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer is a testimony to her appeal and the withstanding shine of her hubby's presidency.

All the speculation can cease, however, as the Obamas officially backed Harris for president in late July and once again at the DNC in August. With Harris making the support of both the Obamas and the Clintons, America is heading for a Trump v. Harris showdown.

Michelle Obama US presidential chances with time

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Obama is still a massive long-shot

Although Michelle Obama was a natural choice to lead the Democratic party, the likelihood of her winning the presidency is a long shot of legendary proportions at this moment in the election cycle, and the present odds of +10,000 still don't accurately reflect that.

Smarkets gives Obama a 0.3% possibility of winning the upcoming election. In truth, political expert and former chief strategist for Barack Obama, David Axelrod has said that a Michelle Obama candidateship is just as most likely as him dancing in the Bolshoi Ballet.